Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003362 0.003751 0.004157 0.004611 0.005104 0.005621 0.006205
2024-10-20 0.002672 0.003207 0.003797 0.004492 0.005284 0.006155 0.007183
2024-10-27 0.002296 0.002909 0.003611 0.004468 0.005481 0.006630 0.008027
2024-11-03 0.001992 0.002646 0.003422 0.004400 0.005589 0.006975 0.008700
2024-11-10 0.001777 0.002462 0.003301 0.004388 0.005743 0.007356 0.009406
2024-11-17 0.001587 0.002288 0.003172 0.004347 0.005845 0.007665 0.010020
2024-11-24 0.001485 0.002218 0.003164 0.004450 0.006120 0.008185 0.010896
2024-12-01 0.001315 0.002039 0.003002 0.004339 0.006112 0.008343 0.011318
2024-12-08 0.001204 0.001933 0.002925 0.004332 0.006232 0.008659 0.011938
2024-12-15 0.001163 0.001921 0.002974 0.004492 0.006572 0.009261 0.012934
2024-12-22 0.001094 0.001862 0.002952 0.004552 0.006776 0.009689 0.013710
2024-12-29 0.001052 0.001841 0.002981 0.004680 0.007073 0.010240 0.014656
2025-01-05 0.001017 0.001828 0.003022 0.004831 0.007410 0.010862 0.015719
2025-01-12 0.000907 0.001691 0.002875 0.004703 0.007355 0.010953 0.016075
2025-01-19 0.000835 0.001609 0.002802 0.004679 0.007441 0.011233 0.016688
2025-01-26 0.000759 0.001512 0.002703 0.004609 0.007456 0.011412 0.017161
2025-02-02 0.000703 0.001446 0.002645 0.004596 0.007551 0.011702 0.017790
2025-02-09 0.000645 0.001372 0.002570 0.004553 0.007598 0.011923 0.018324
2025-02-16 0.000622 0.001358 0.002591 0.004660 0.007869 0.012465 0.019315
2025-02-23 0.000559 0.001264 0.002476 0.004545 0.007801 0.012518 0.019616
2025-03-02 0.000520 0.001214 0.002430 0.004538 0.007896 0.012805 0.020251
2025-03-09 0.000514 0.001226 0.002490 0.004704 0.008259 0.013490 0.021466
2025-03-16 0.000491 0.001202 0.002487 0.004766 0.008462 0.013943 0.022352